In this mailing:
- Eric Rozenman: Team Biden Outmaneuvered by China?
- Amir Taheri: Iran: With Friends Like That
by Eric Rozenman • July 30, 2023 at 5:00 am
U.S. policy toward China appears to be suffering from a belief in magic – that, for instance, withdrawing from Afghanistan would be a great idea; that Putin would be happy with a "minor incursion" into Ukraine; that the Chinese spy balloon was "silly;" that the mission of education and the military should be to ensure "equity," leading one veteran to say that the US is "trying to out-pronoun our enemies;" and that America's southern border, with agents trying to process reportedly 8,000 illegal migrants each day, thereby leaving vast swaths of land open to traffickers, smugglers and terrorists, is "secure."
Regrettably, the Biden Administration seems to be letting itself be outmaneuvered in countering the imminent threat of war posed by China's leader Xi Jinping and his ruling Communist Party.
Blinken swallowed the airport insult and met anyway with, among others, his Chinese counterpart and Xi himself. They held what the State Department called "a productive conversation, a real exchange." Chinese officials likewise said the talks were "candid, in-depth and constructive." Oh good! Then we have nothing to worry about!
At home, Xi has continued to tighten party control over the economy even as economic growth has faltered and unemployment climbed. Why pursue antagonistic policies abroad and counter-productive ones at home?
Xi's objectives are not economic growth or good relations but rather to insulate China from outside sanctions and other pressure like that, orchestrated by the United States and NATO against Russia for its invasion of Ukraine. -- J. Kyle Bass, founder of Texas-based Hayman Capital Management, July 12, 2023.
"The day Yellen landed in China, Xi told the Eastern Military Command to prepare for war. I think it's highly likely he invades Taiwan." Not by 2027, as estimated by U.S. intelligence, but "in 12 to 18 months." -- J. Kyle Bass, July 12, 2023.
Regrettably, the Biden Administration seems to be letting itself be outmaneuvered in countering the imminent threat of war posed by China's leader Xi Jinping and his ruling Communist Party. Pictured: US President Joe Biden meets with China's President Xi Jinping at the G20 Summit in Bali, Indonesia on November 14, 2022. (Photo by Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images)
U.S. policy toward China appears to be suffering from a belief in magic – that, for instance, withdrawing from Afghanistan would be a great idea; that Putin would be happy with a "minor incursion" into Ukraine; that the Chinese spy balloon was "silly;" that the mission of education and the military should be to ensure "equity," leading one veteran to say that the US is "trying to out-pronoun our enemies;" and that America's southern border, with agents trying to process reportedly 8,000 illegal migrants each day, thereby leaving vast swaths of land open to traffickers, smugglers and terrorists, is "secure." Regrettably, the Biden Administration seems to be letting itself be outmaneuvered in countering the imminent threat of war posed by China's leader Xi Jinping and his ruling Communist Party. Three cases in point:
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by Amir Taheri • July 30, 2023 at 4:00 am
The Islamic Republic has been asking to be admitted into the BRICS group [Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa] club since 2010 when the "Supreme Guide" Ayatollah Ali Khamenei announced his intention to create a "New World Order" through a triple alliance of Iran, China and Russia.
Tehran sources say the Iranian demand, though supported by South Africa and India, has been quietly vetoed by Russia and cold-shouldered by China.
Khamenei's dream of a "New World Order" led by Iran, China and Russia, has proven to be a pipe-dream shaped in the mind of a leader that operates in a fantasy universe.
The pipe-dream was partly punctured last week when Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan made his first foreign visit after his election victory to Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar, ignoring Iran altogether.
[F]or years, the former head of the Islamic Majlis's National Security Commission Heshmatallah Falahat-Pisheh has warned that both China and Russia have treated the Islamic Republic as nothing but a source of profit for themselves.
Former Oil Minister Bijan Zangeneh has warned that Russia, having pushed Iran out of the European oil market is now trying to do the same in the Indian and Chinese markets by offering mouth-watering discounts. Since last March, China's oil imports from Iran have fallen by almost 40 percent, according to unofficial estimates, with Russia claiming the part that Iran has lost.
Meanwhile, regarding what some Iranians see as an attack by Lavrov on the nation's integrity, many are unhappy about Raisi's refusal or inability to read the riot act to the Russians. The concern is that Tehran's lack of reaction to the Russian and Chinese moves could encourage other nations to adopt a similar stance against Iran.
Khamenei, aged 84, seems unlikely to abandon what he had hoped would be his "historic legacy" or, in his own words "driving the Great Satan and its allies out of the region." This is perhaps why, as long as Khamenei is in charge, neither Beijing nor Moscow is worried about angering Iran, whatever they do.
Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's dream of a "New World Order" led by Iran, China and Russia, has proven to be a pipe-dream shaped in the mind of a leader that operates in a fantasy universe. (Image source: khamenei.ir)
The great Marx, Groucho not Karl, once said that he wouldn't join a club that would have him as a member. Iran's rulers today face a different dilemma, trying to join clubs that wouldn't have them as member. For weeks, Tehran propaganda harped on the theme of President Ebrahim Raisi travelling to South Africa to attend the annual summit of the BRICS group (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa). The Islamic Republic has been asking to be admitted into the club since 2010, when "Supreme Guide" Ayatollah Ali Khamenei announced his intention to create a "New World Order" through a triple alliance of Iran, China and Russia. Tehran sources say the Iranian demand, though supported by South Africa and India, has been quietly vetoed by Russia and cold-shouldered by China.
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