The GOPAC Newsletter 7.28.23 

The GOPAC Newsletter

 

News of Interest

 

State Rep. Ryan Guillen finds himself in the middle of the action in his first term as a Republican

The longtime Rio Grande City representative, who switched parties in 2021, has played a key role in gun and immigration legislation this year.

The Texas Tribune | Patrick Svitek

July 27, 2023

State Rep. Ryan Guillen was working the crowd at a Dairy Queen in the northern end of his district earlier this month, coincidentally the same city where he announced over a year ago he would change parties.

The Rio Grande City lawmaker fielded questions about the property-tax impasse that was gripping Austin at the time, predicting a deal was near. He high-fived a woman who was thankful for his resolution naming Floresville the official Peanut Capital of Texas. He gave out his cell phone number to the full audience, asking them to call him anytime.

Some were aware that — standing in a county where Donald Trump voters outnumbered Joe Biden voters 3-to-1 — they were talking to a former longtime Democrat.

“It does matter, and a lot of us were concerned about that at first, but he’s come through,” said Terry Rolland, a member of Floresville City Council who described herself as a “constitutional conservative.” Read more

 

WG Economy

A "Confounded" Biden Team Sells Bidenomics

WG Economy | David Winston

July 26, 2023

The White House is doing a full-court press to sell Bidenomics, with Council of Economic Advisers Chair Jared Bernstein going on Fox News Sunday to pitch conservative audiences. One of their major selling points is the recent decline in the year-over-year rate of inflation. From the June survey for Winning the Issues (June 19-21), by 2:1, voters did not believe the statement that the annual inflation rate has fallen for ten months straight (27-55 believe-do not believe). This is one of several examples of the credibility problem that the White House is encountering in trying to sell Bidenomics. As Axios reported over the weekend, "the Biden team has long been frustrated, at times confounded, that these positive data points are not reflected in his approval rating, which is stuck in the low 40s." Bernstein's explanation was that "it takes a while for people's sentiment to catch up to those new trends." Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi was asked by CNN's Dana Bash why voters were reluctant to believe their claims of economic improvements; her response was "a lot of it is about messaging." WG Economy, July 26, 2023.pdf

 

Former Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte launches

campaign for NH governor

"I'm running for Governor because New Hampshire is one election away from becoming Massachusetts," she said in her announcement.

NBC Boston | Mark Fortier

July 24, 2023

Former Republican New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte officially launched her campaign for governor on Monday morning.

"I'm running for Governor because New Hampshire is one election away from becoming Massachusetts -- from becoming something we are not," she said in an email announcement. "I was born here and raised here. I raised my kids here, and you know what? I am going to die here because this state and its people are different. What we have here is worth fighting for."

Her announcement comes less than a week after incumbent GOP Gov. Chris Sununu announced that he would not seek a fifth term in 2024. He hasn't said what he plans to do next in his career. Read more

 

Why Tim Scott may be one to watch

in GOP presidential race

CNN | Harry Enten

July 23, 2023

Can the nice guy finish first?

That's the question a lot of analysts are asking about the Republican race for president, with headlines such as "Tim Scott is turning heads with donors and early-state voters" and "Tim Scott's formidable charm meets a tough Republican electorate."

While the South Carolina senator remains well behind front-runner Donald Trump in the national horserace polls, a number of key indicators - from favorability ratings to early-state polling to fundraising - suggest Scott may be the GOP candidate to watch besides the former president or Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

Right now, most of the Republican hopefuls are not well known. Many voters will start paying attention as the debates begin and the primaries draw closer. Read more

 

Fox Business Poll: Trump leads in Iowa, as DeSantis and Scott round out the top 3

Iowa's caucus kicks off the GOP nomination process


Fox Business | Dana Blanton

July 23, 2023

An early read on the race for the Republican nomination in Iowa shows former President Donald Trump the clear frontrunner - and then there is a sharp drop off to the rest of the field.

Trump leads by 30 points n a Fox Business survey of Iowa Republicans, as likely caucus-goers prioritize electability and see him as the one who can win in 2024.

Here are the numbers: 46% of likely GOP caucus-goers back Trump, putting him in a category all his own. The next tier is Ron DeSantis at 16% and Tim Scott at 11%.

From there, it's Vivek Ramaswamy at 6%, Nikki Haley at 5%, Mike Pence at 4%, and Chris Christie and Doug Burgum at 3% each. Asa Hutchinson and Francis Suarez receive 1% apiece, while Larry Elder and Will Hurd get less than 1% each. Read more

 

WG Discussion Points

Bidenomics: How Much Is Inflation Coming Down?

WG Discussion Points | David Winston

July 21, 2023

For this week's Discussion Points, we are releasing our new video Bidenomics: How Much Is Inflation Coming Down? This short video looks at White House Bidenomics statements about recent trends in inflation from short-term and cumulative perspectives, including an updated Presidential Inflation Rate.

video
 
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