June 23, 2023
Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.
New Poll: Third Party Challenger Would Hurt Biden More than Trump in the General Election
By Manzanita Miller
The latest Emerson Poll has Democrats concerned about President Biden’s prospects in the general election, with the introduction of a third-party challenger hurting Biden more than Former President Trump.
The poll shows Trump and Biden in a dead-heat at 44% and 43% of the vote respectively, but when third-party progressive candidate like Cornel West is added to the race, he hurts Biden more than Trump. West pulls in 6% of the vote as a third-party candidate but draws 15% of Black vote and 13% of voters under 35, groups Biden cannot afford to lose.
Political analysts looking to dismiss Democratic primary challengers Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Marianne Williamson argue that the entry of a third-party candidate like West is more damaging to Biden than attacks from within his own party. While it is certainly true that the entry of a third-party progressive like West who polls well with Blacks and young voters would harm Biden in the general election, this is not to dismiss the threat of challengers from within the Democratic Party.
Kennedy is polling at 15% in the latest Emerson Poll, while Williamson is polling at 3%, and 10% say they’d support someone else. This translates to at over a quarter of Democrats leaning toward one of the two leading Biden-alternatives within the party. Whether these two candidates pose a real threat to Biden’s prospects in the primaries or not, there is no guarantee that Kennedy and Williamson supporters will circle back to support Biden in the general election should their candidates fail to secure the nomination.
Data from 2016 shows roughly 10% of Bernie Sanders supporters ended up switching sides and supporting Former President Trump, and that is a real possibility with Kennedy and Williamson supporters, who tend to be younger voters as well.
In fact, a May Morning Consult poll found R.F.K’s largest block of support stemming from women, younger voters, and those with some college education but no degree. Kennedy also polled well with Independents, securing 33% of their vote in the poll.
Women are a notable factor to consider here, because while West could court pull young progressives and Blacks away from Biden, Kennedy could do the same with women and young populists. The Morning Consult poll found 13% of women compared to 7% of men said they’d support Kennedy as a primary challenger. It is interesting just how far Biden’s numbers have fallen with Democratic women compared to men. There is a nearly twenty-percentage point difference between the share of men who say they’d support Biden in the primaries (78%) compared to the share of women who say the same thing (61%).
Like Kennedy, Williamson polls better with Democratic women than she does men and polls slightly better with college-educated Democrats.
Both a third-party challenger in the form of progressive activist Cornel West and challengers from within the Democratic Party pose a threat to Biden by dividing left-wing voters, as well as attracting swing voters and Independents.
This news comes on top of the recent Harvard CAPS / Harris poll showing not only that Former President Trump’s approval rating is higher than President Biden’s, but he earns more public support than GOP challenger Ron DeSantis and Democratic challenger Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
In fact, Trump leads DeSantis by a full 45 percentage points for the GOP primary spot in the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and leads President Biden by six percentage points in a head-to head matchup.
Biden’s polling numbers remain marred in the low-40’s and he is polling worse against Trump than he was last summer, so any additional challenges from third-party candidates and his own party are not helping.
Mainstream analysts may suggest that West poses a greater challenge to Biden than Kennedy does. In reality, West has the potential to attract a substantial portion of the Black and youth vote during the general election, whereas Kennedy could appeal to women, young people, and populist Democrats during the primaries. However, there is no guarantee these groups will return to support Biden in the general election.
Manzanita Miller is an associate analyst at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.
To view online: https://dailytorch.com/2023/06/new-poll-third-party-challenger-would-hurt-biden-more-than-trump-in-the-general-election/
Video: Schiff Pays The Price For Russia Collusion Hoax: CENSURED!
To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RSKDUtHkBhw
Video: Homeless Crisis Making Boston Latest Unlivable Democrat Run City
To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jm5yTIHN1sc
Issues & Insights: ‘Russian Collusion: It Was Hillary Clinton All Along’
It was clear from the beginning that charges of “collusion” between Donald Trump and Russia during the 2016 election were phony — a cheap, and illegal, political trick. But they did their damage. While Trump beat Hillary Clinton, there has since been a non-stop Democratic Party-led campaign to tar him as a “traitor” or worse.
And, as the recent testimony of Special Counsel John Durham to Congress shows, Clinton lay behind this scheme to defraud American voters and throw an election. So, today, despite powerful evidence of official wrongdoing, we’re back where we were some seven years ago.
By the way, you might notice the headline above has quotation marks. That’s because it was the exact headline we placed on an editorial way back in August 2018. We didn’t need to change it a bit.
We wrote then: “It’s beginning to look as if claims of monstrous collusion between Russian officials and U.S. political operatives were true. But it wasn’t Donald Trump who was guilty of Russian collusion. It was Hillary Clinton and U.S. intelligence officials who worked with Russians and others to entrap Trump.”
After years of investigation, costing taxpayers hundreds of millions of dollars and casting doubt on the outcomes of two presidential elections, will anything change? Not likely.
As Durham said Wednesday: “The FBI was too willing to accept and use politically funded and uncorroborated opposition research such as the Steele Dossier. It did so even after the president of the United States, the FBI and CIA directors and others received briefings about intelligence suggesting there was a Clinton campaign plan underway to stir up a scandal tying Trump to Russia.”
Durham emphasized that the FBI knew Clinton’s tale of Trump’s supposed ties to the Russians was false. So did the CIA and the NSA. So did President Barack Obama. But the FBI investigated Trump anyway under its now-infamous Crossfire Hurricane probe.
This didn’t spring from nowhere. It came at the prompting of CIA Director John Brennan, who in summer 2016 created what he called a “fusion cell” from the CIA, NSA and FBI to look into the charges. Conveniently, it disbanded shortly after Trump won election, leaving the FBI holding the bag with Crossfire Hurricane.
So, no, calling this a deep-state conspiracy is not paranoid. It’s a fact.
Worse, as it turns out, the FBI essentially became an arm of the faltering Clinton campaign, taking sides to throw an election. How? The nation’s top law enforcement agency used as its main evidence the now-debunked Steele Dossier, which Clinton’s campaign paid for.
This was the real collusion. It’s not overly dramatic to suggest this was, in essence, a pre-emptive coup attempt by deep state insiders.
As investigative reporter Lee Smith, writing in 2018, put it, evidence showed clearly “how closely senior Justice Department officials and the Federal Bureau of Investigation worked with employees of Fusion GPS, a Washington-based research firm reportedly paid $1 million by Clinton operatives to dig up dirt on the Trump campaign.”
Smith added this was all “part of a broad effort to tarnish the Trump campaign involving Hillary Clinton operatives employed by Kremlin-linked figures and Department of Justice officials.”
That is a conspiracy, plain and simple. And clearly one that favored the Democrats.
As Durham himself noted this week, the Justice Department and FBI did not apply the same standards to allegations they “received about the Clinton and Trump campaigns.” That’s right. Because they were working with Clinton. And because they feared her.
This crime is worthy of severe punishment for its perpetrators. Instead, only a handful were ever sanctioned or fired. The short list of those who lost jobs includes former FBI Director James Comey, former FBI No. 2 Andrew McCabe, former FBI agent Peter Strzok, former FBI attorney Kevin Clinesmith, and just a few others.
As for Clinton, she once again skated for illegal behavior, just as she did for potentially revealing secrets to our enemies over her private email server while serving as secretary of State, a clear crime under the law, and for turning her State Department post into an illegal fundraising arm of the “Clinton Family Foundation.”
As Durham himself wrote, the FBI was informed about “a Clinton campaign plan to vilify Trump by tying him to Vladimir Putin so as to divert attention from her own concerns relating to her use of a private email server.” Did the FBI stop it? No, it investigated what it knew to be false.
Yet, like Clinton, the FBI, has escaped serious consequences for its actions. At minimum, it needs to be reformed from top to bottom. But that appears to be highly unlikely with a Democrat-controlled Senate.
Meanwhile, the Bureau continues to do the Democratic Party’s dirty work through its endless investigations of Trump, including the ongoing review of the J6 “insurrection” that the FBI itself might have played a role in instigating, and the senseless flap over “classified documents” that launched a paramilitary federal assault on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate.
So, as we said, nothing’s changed.
Political favoritism by the Justice Department and FBI undermines Americans’ confidence in their public institutions and the rule of law. The main instigator, Hillary Clinton, walks free, while Trump is subject to repeated probes.
Which means this will happen again. Indeed, it already is, with both Justice and the FBI appearing to look the other way as evidence grows of $30 million-plus in Chinese, Ukrainian and Russian bribes paid to the Biden family.
It is a dangerous thing when polls show people think that justice isn’t blind, but rather has its finger on the scale for one party over another. Durham, at least, understands that.
Near the end of Wednesday’s testimony, Republican Wyoming Rep. Harriet Hageman pointedly asked Durham: “How long do you think that this country will survive with a two-tiered justice system that seeks to persecute people on their political beliefs?”
“The nation can’t stand under those circumstances,” Durham responded. That’s perhaps his most damning comment of the entire four-year investigation.
To view online: https://issuesinsights.com/2023/06/23/russian-collusion-it-was-hillary-clinton-all-along/