Daily News Brief
February 12, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
U.S., Taliban Negotiators Meet in Doha Amid ‘Notable Progress’ in Talks
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo shared progress in U.S.-Taliban peace talks (TOLO) with Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and Chief Executive Abdullah Abdullah, according to their offices. U.S. and Taliban negotiators are set to meet in Doha (WaPo) today.
 
U.S. President Donald J. Trump has reportedly given conditional approval (NYT) to sign a deal with the Taliban if the militant group can demonstrate its commitment to reducing violence, Afghan and U.S. officials said. An agreement to reduce violence during a specific time period is expected to be a precursor to a broader peace deal. The Taliban presented a violence reduction proposal in January, and negotiations since have focused on its details.
Analysis
“While the timing of an announcement was still tentative early Wednesday, the start of a weeklong reduction in violence would mark a major step in the process toward reaching an agreement to end the U.S. role in the 18-year war,” Jessica Donati writes for the Wall Street Journal.
 
“A US-Taliban agreement is an important prelude but will only have enduring significance if intra-Afghan talks produce a real peace deal,” tweets Crisis Group’s Laurel Miller.
 
This CFR Timeline looks at the U.S. war in Afghanistan, including recent attempts at peace talks.
Election 2020 U.S. Foreign Policy Forum
Former government officials from Republican and Democratic administrations discuss U.S. national security and answer questions about U.S. policy and America’s role in the world, today at 8:00 p.m. (EST).

Pacific Rim
Philippines to Terminate Security Agreement With U.S.
Manila notified Washington it plans to terminate (Rappler) a military cooperation agreement signed in 1998 that allows U.S. troops to rotate through the country. U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper said it was “a move in the wrong direction.”
 
Indonesia: The government announced it will not bring home (VOA) hundreds of Indonesians detained abroad on suspicion of membership in the self-proclaimed Islamic State.

South and Central Asia
Boat Carrying Rohingya Refugees Capsizes
At least fifteen Rohingya refugees died on the way to Malaysia when their boat capsized (Dhaka Tribune) off the Bangladeshi coast.

Middle East and North Africa
Libyan Opposition Forces Block UN Flights
Forces loyal to former General Khalifa Haftar, who is leading a civil war against Libya’s internationally recognized government, blocked flights (Reuters) carrying UN staff. The United Nations is overseeing relief and mediation efforts in Libya’s conflict.
 
CFR examines what’s at stake in Libya’s war.
 
Lebanon: The country’s new cabinet won a confidence vote with support from 75 percent of parliament after presenting a new budget (France 24) that proposes austerity measures to revive the economy.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Former Sudanese Leader May Face Trial in International Criminal Court
Sudan is considering handing over (NYT) those wanted for trial by the International Criminal Court (ICC), including former President Omar al-Bashir who is accused of war crimes and genocide.
 
In Foreign Affairs, Zachariah Mampilly discusses the ICC charges against Bashir.
 
Kenya: Around thirty thousand people attended a state funeral (BBC) for former President Daniel arap Moi, the country’s longest-serving president who is known for bringing stability to Kenya and presiding over a crackdown on dissent.

Europe
Report: Firm Allowed Germany, U.S. to Surveil Communications Thought to Be Encrypted
The Switzerland-based company Crypto AG sold encryption equipment to 120 countries for decades while secretly allowing West German and U.S. intelligence services to surveil the countries’ communications, according to a Washington Post and ZDF report. The equipment was sold to clients including India, Iran, and Pakistan.
 
Ukraine: President Volodymyr Zelensky replaced his chief of staff (NYT), a former lawyer for an oligarch who is increasingly at odds with Zelensky’s government.
 
This CFR Timeline looks at Ukraine’s post-independence struggles.

Americas
Study: Up to One-Fifth of Amazon Rainforest Is Net Carbon Emitter
While most of the Amazon rainforest absorbs carbon dioxide, up to one-fifth emits more carbon dioxide (BBC) than it absorbs, according to Brazil’s National Institute for Space Research. Researchers pointed to high deforestation in net carbon emitting areas. 
 
In Foreign Affairs, Thomas Lovejoy discusses why the Amazon is nearing the point of no return.
 
Chile: Consumption of sugar-sweetened drinks fell nearly 25 percent (NYT) in the eighteen months after strict regulations on advertising were implemented in 2016, according to a new study. Israel, Peru, and Uruguay have since implemented similar rules.

United States
Sanders, Trump Win New Hampshire Primaries
The second contest (NYT) of this year’s presidential primary season occurred without delays or disputes over vote counting. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders won the Democratic contest, narrowly defeating former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg. U.S. President Donald J. Trump won the Republican contest.
 
Four prosecutors withdrew (NYT) from the case of Roger Stone, who was convicted of obstructing investigations into Russian interference in the 2016 election, after senior Justice Department officials reportedly intervened to shorten Stone’s recommended sentence. President Trump criticized the sentence’s length earlier in the day.
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