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Daily News Brief
August 02, 2019
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Top of the Agenda
Trump Signals New Tariffs on China
U.S. President Donald J. Trump announced on Twitter that the United States will impose 10 percent tariffs on $300 billion worth of Chinese goods starting next month. The move follows resumed trade talks between top U.S. and Chinese officials in Shanghai. 

The Chinese Foreign Ministry called the tariffs a serious violation (NBC) that would earn “necessary countermeasures.” The new duties come on top of 25 percent tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese imports imposed in May. A draft list of targeted goods (Bloomberg) published in May includes consumer products ranging from children’s apparel to smartphones. Stocks in Asia, Europe, and the United States were down (WSJ) after the announcement.
Analysis
“The combination of these latest tariffs, with Chinese counter retaliation, is going to take a heavy toll on US consumers, workers, farmers, and businesses,” Wendy Cutler, former U.S. trade negotiator and vice president of the Asia Society Policy Institute, told TIME.

“Households haven’t yet felt the impact of U.S.-China tensions,” David Fickling writes for Bloomberg. “With Trump’s promise Thursday to add a 10% levy on the remaining goods trade between the two countries from Sept. 1, that’s about to change.”

This CFR Backgrounder lays out the truth about tariffs.

This CFR timeline traces U.S.-China relations since 1949.

 

Pacific Rim
Japan Cuts South Korea From Preferential Trade List
Tokyo removed South Korea (FT) from its list of preferred trading states, the latest move in a growing trade dispute between the countries. Goods sent to South Korea will now be subject to screenings and could require special clearances. Seoul said it will respond “firmly” to the measure, which takes effect later this month.

In Foreign Affairs, Celeste L. Arrington and Andrew Yeo write that the United States should help resolve the Seoul-Tokyo dispute.

 

South and Central Asia
India Orders Major Deployment to Kashmir
The Indian government has ordered at least twenty-five thousand security forces (Hindu) to the disputed Jammu and Kashmir region, according to police. This follows a deployment of some ten thousand troops (TOI) to Kashmir last week.

India: Amid national outcry, the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party has expelled (Hindu) the state lawmaker suspected of threatening the family of a woman who accused him of rape.

 

Middle East and North Africa
Saudi Arabia Lifts Some Restrictions on Women
A new decree grants women over the age of twenty-one the right to apply for a passport and travel abroad (BBC) without a male guardian’s approval. It also allows women to register childbirth, marriage, and divorce.

Syria: The government said it will halt fighting (Al Jazeera) around the Idlib region if rebels withdraw from a buffer zone, Syrian state media reported. A UK-based monitoring group said that it detected no air strikes (Reuters) in the area on Friday.

 

Sub-Saharan Africa
Mogadishu Mayor Dies a Week After Bombing
Abdirahman Omar Osman, the mayor of Somalia’s capital, has died (BBC) after being injured in a suicide bombing at his office last week by the militant group al-Shabab. He had also served as a London city councillor and Somalia’s information minister. At least six other people were killed in the attack.

Sudan: At least four protesters were killed and several others injured in pro-democracy demonstrations (Reuters) that reportedly involved hundreds of thousands across the country. The ruling military council and opposition have been at odds over the details of a political transition deal.

 

Europe
Europe to Pick Nominee for IMF Chief
EU finance ministers will vote from a shortlist of candidates today on their nominee (FT) for the next managing director of the International Monetary Fund. The group had failed to reach a consensus after weeks of negotiations.

Turkey: The government has granted its media regulator (Reuters) wide oversight of online content, including from news outlets and video-streaming platforms. Press freedom advocates said the move could be used to increase censorship.

 

Americas
Record Ice Melt in Greenland
The heat wave that set temperature records across Europe last week has hit Greenland, where melting is now occurring on a record 57 percent (AP) of its ice sheet. Greenland is believed to have shrunk more in the past month (Guardian) than the average year since 2002, according to satellite imagery.

Guatemala: The acting U.S. homeland security chief told Guatemalan officials and business leaders that the United States will invest more in Guatemala now that the two countries have signed a migration deal. He also said Washington is lobbying Brazil, El Salvador, Honduras, Mexico, and Panama to sign similar deals (NYT) to accept U.S. asylum seekers.

On this episode of the President’s Inbox podcast, CFR’s Paul J. Angelo discusses what’s behind the surge in Central American migration.

 

United States
U.S. Withdraws From INF Treaty
The United States has formally withdrawn (Reuters) from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, a Cold War–era pact with Russia that banned the use of certain types of missiles. President Donald J. Trump announced the withdrawal six months ago, citing Russian violations, and Moscow said it would suspend its obligations to the treaty. 

CFR’s Lori Esposito Murray writes that the INF’s collapse signals trouble for U.S.-Russia relations, European security, and nonproliferation efforts.
Friday Editor’s Pick
Wilson Quarterly examines how access to water is already driving conflict at the local level.
 
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