It’s Tuesday, the traditional day for elections and for our pause-and-consider newsletter on politics and policy. We think of it as a mini-magazine in your inbox.
BUILDING A 2024 CHEAT SHEET
By Lisa Desjardins, @LisaDNews
Correspondent
Over the weekend, with nearly two days to spare, President Joe Biden signed the Financial Responsibility Act, suspending the debt ceiling and allowing the U.S. government to borrow the funds it needs to keep operating.
If scientists such as Brian Greene, Stephen Hawking and Dr. Strange are right about the possibility of multiple universes, then today, in some no-debt-deal universe, the alternative us might instead be experiencing financial upheaval and teetering into recession.
Instead, we can raise a glass and say happy no-financial-catastrophe to all! Especially since averting that crisis means more room to look ahead to the 2024 race.
Here’s a cheat sheet to understanding the (complicated) calendar so far.
2023
2024
The Republican National Committee voted last year to keep its calendar order: Iowa, then New Hampshire, followed by South Carolina and then Nevada. But the Democratic National Committee voted to rearrange their roster: South Carolina, followed by New Hampshire and Nevada, then Georgia, then Michigan.
What does this mean? The mismatched schedules are getting pushback from some states. Examples? New Hampshire’s governor has vowed to keep the state’s first-in-nation primary spot and has threatened to buck Democrats’ schedule. Lawmakers in Georgia have already done that, ignoring the Democratic Party’s plan.
Here is what we do know:
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Mid-January: This is a likely time frame for Iowa Republicans to caucus and New Hampshire to hold primaries for both parties. The fine print: This is not yet settled, but here is the thinking – if South Carolina keeps its Feb. 3 primary, it is likely that New Hampshire moves its primaries to at least one week earlier, perhaps Jan. 23. (State law requires that.) From there, Iowa Republicans would likely move a week or so earlier, perhaps Jan. 16.
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Feb. 3: South Carolina Democratic primary.
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Feb. 6: Nevada Democratic primary. The fine print: Nevada Republicans also have a contest scheduled for this day, but the party is suing the state to try to change that.
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Feb. 13: See March 12, below.
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Feb. 27: Michigan Democratic primary. The fine print: The Republican primary is also possible this date, per a new law signed in February. However — and this gets dizzying — for that law to take effect, the legislature must adjourn by late November and it is not clear that will happen. Meanwhile, Republicans have threatened to sue over that date.
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March 5: Super Tuesday. More than a dozen states plan primaries for both parties on this day.
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March 12: Georgia Republican and Democratic primaries. The fine print: This is contrary to Democrats’ national calendar, which set a date of Feb. 13. But Georgia’s secretary of state is holding firm to March 12 for both parties.
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March 19: Mini Tuesday. A handful of big states are set to vote this day, including Arizona, Florida and Ohio.
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July 15 to 18: GOP Convention. Milwaukee.
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August 19 to 22: Democratic Convention. Chicago.
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Nov. 5: Election Day.
- Dec. 16: Electoral College meets to cast final ballots in the election.
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