FEBRUARY 10, 2020: There are 31 Pivot Counties in Iowa ([link removed]) —counties that voted twice for Barack Obama and then voted for Donald Trump in 2016 (see map below).
In last week’s Iowa Caucuses, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg won 20 of these 31 counties. Senator Bernie Sanders won eight of them while Senator Amy Klobuchar won two.[1] ([link removed])
Despite having been on the ticket when these counties voted for Obama, former Vice President Joe Biden was able to win just one Pivot County. The former Vice President finished second in 7 Pivot Counties and third in 10 more. He failed to finish among the top 3 in 13 of Iowa’s Pivot Counties.[1] ([link removed])
In 2012, the Iowa Pivot Counties ([link removed]) voted for President Obama by a 12-point margin, 55 percent to 43 percent. In 2016, they voted for President Trump by a 13-point margin, 53 percent to 40 percent. That’s a net swing of 25 points (from D+12 to R+13).
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_Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, ** Politics Has Failed: America Will Not ([link removed])
** , ([link removed])
was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018._
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