From The Center for Responsive Politics <[email protected]>
Subject OpenSecrets.org Newsletter: Focus turns to New Hampshire
Date February 7, 2020 1:41 PM
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With Iowa still very much in the picture

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February 6th, 2020
This week in money-in-politics

Mass spending in New Hampshire follows mass confusion in Iowa


If the Iowa caucuses are any indication of a link between fundraising and results, then competition in the New Hampshire Democratic primary on Feb. 11 could be between Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

Sanders has raised over $535,000 in New Hampshire, topping all his Democratic primary contenders. Buttigieg comes in second, raising around $406,000 in the state. While Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) has received more than $321,000, former Vice President Joe Biden ranks fourth with around $238,000 in contributions. Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) received almost $126,000.

New Hampshire neighbors Sanders home state of Vermont and that is expected to give him an advantage Tuesday, similar to 2016 when he beat Hillary Clinton with a 20 percent margin in the state. But this has not deterred the Democratic frontrunner in the state from aggressively campaigning, reportedly spending $3.6 million on 2020 advertising in the state.

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** 2020 Senate elections take focus following Trump acquittal
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With the impeachment trial over and President Donald Trump acquitted on a near party-line vote, Republicans and Democrats are turning their sights on 2020. The battle for the Senate will hinge on a handful of close contests that may be impacted by senators’ impeachment votes. Republicans are taking aim at Doug Jones over his vote to convict Trump and pressuring other Democratic Senate challengers to say how they would have voted. Democrats are attacking several vulnerable GOP senators over their votes to acquit Trump.
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** Republican Party raking in millions from Trump-tied foreign agent and lobbyist fundraisers
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The Republican National Committee and its joint fundraising committee with President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign accepted more than $4.4 million from lobbyist fundraisers in 2019, according to OpenSecrets analysis of FEC disclosures. Most of the lobbyists raising money for the RNC and joint fundraising committee are from Trump-connected lobbying firms that brought in record revenues in 2019.
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** Every House district in Iowa will see competitive contests in 2020
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A multi-million dollar affair is brewing in Iowa as three of four U.S. House seats are considered competitive races. Three of the four seats in Iowa are swing districts and could help determine whether Democrats will maintain control of the House after the midterm election win in 2018 where they flipped two seats in the Hawkeye State. Races for seats held by Democratic Reps. Abby Finkenauer, Cindy Axne and the retiring Dave Loebsack are considered toss-ups, according to The Cook Political Report.
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2020 Democrats running low on cash as Trump builds up war chest


President Donald Trump has more campaign cash on hand than the entire Democratic field combined, building on his money advantage as 2020 Democrats burn through their reserves to woo voters in early primary states.

Trump’s campaign has nearly $103 million in the bank, compared to less than $85 million combined for the Democratic hopefuls. The president grew his bank by 24 percent from October to December while most of the remaining Democrats burned through their reserves.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), the current polling leader in Iowa, raised $34 million from October through December but spent almost $50 million. That spending, driven partly by expensive TV ad buys in early primary states, left Sanders with just over $18 million in the bank. Sanders surged in recent months, taking the top spot in Iowa and New Hampshire polls and joining former Vice President Joe Biden atop national polls.

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OpenSecrets in the News

See where we've been cited by media outlets around the nation this week.

* ** Powerful Trump supporters urge donors to shun John Bolton’s super PAC after bombshell book revelations (CNBC) ([link removed])
Several of President Trump’s most loyal donors and supporters are telling other conservative financiers to shun former national security advisor John Bolton’s PAC and super PAC.

* ** Can the GOP reclaim this California district? Its rookie Democrat has a flush campaign account (The Sacramento Bee) ([link removed])
California Rep. Josh Harder has consistently blown past his Republican challengers in fundraising and is sitting on millions of dollars in donations.

* ** Bernie Sanders Leads Trump, All 2020 Candidates in Donations From Active-Duty Troops (Rolling Stone) ([link removed])
No other 2020 candidate for president, including Donald Trump, can come close to matching Bernie Sanders’ level of financial support among members of the U.S. military.

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