From Institute of Economic Affairs <[email protected]>
Subject Is the Bank of England overcompensating?
Date May 14, 2023 8:00 AM
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The government’s climbdown on the EU Retained Law Bill has come under intense criticism from many Brexit supporters this week.

The plan to ‘sunset’ all EU laws by the end of the year — meaning that they would expire if they had not been revised or retained — has been cancelled. Sunsetting was meant to give civil servants and ministers an impetus to identify which of the thousands of pieces of EU law built up over decades are still necessary.

There is much to be liked about sunsetting. It provides protection against the tyranny of the status quo: the opportunity to reanalyse costs and benefits of existing law. There is a decent case that all regulations should have an expiry date. American founding father Thomas Jefferson suggested that ([link removed]) even written constitutions should expire every 19 years, to prevent previous generations from binding the future:

“The earth belongs always to the living generation… Every constitution, then, and every law, naturally expires at the end of 19. years. If it be enforced longer, it is an act of force and not of right.”

In practice, however, the government’s plans to sunset were backfiring. As I wrote in a letter to the Financial Times last week ([link removed]) :

“In response [to sunsetting requirements], departments have lined up to demand most laws are exempted to avoid a regulatory cliff edge. They are busily drafting hundreds of statutory instruments to maintain the status quo. This timely process has paralysed civil servants.”
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Some have said that analysing 4,000 or so laws should have been easy enough for the civil service. But this underestimates the required effort. It takes significant time and resources to understand and interpret each law, determine whether to maintain, abolish, or amend — and then consult, propose new rules, allow scrutiny and potentially new legislation. This is no overnight task.

But, due to the end-of-year deadline, none of this reform work was happening. Sunsetting (ironically, like much regulation) had a significant unintended consequence: locking in the status quo rather than enabling reform. Indeed, the original plan was to sunset by the end of 2026, not to try to do it all by the end of 2023. A longer period to undertake this mammoth task is sensible.

Nevertheless, there is an underlying failure and genuine frustration. Ministers and civil servants have failed for many years to identify Brexit opportunities and make the case for reform. The government’s ‘Smart regulation ([link removed]) ’ package from this week is a step in the right direction. It will create an innovation and growth objective for regulators, as suggested ([link removed]) by the IEA’s former Head of Regulatory Affairs Victoria Hewson. There will also be some minor changes to working time directive paperwork, an issue discussed ([link removed]) by the IEA’s Editorial and Research Fellow Professor Len Shackleton for many years.

But there is much more work to be done. IEA research has been at the forefront of identifying Brexit opportunities ([link removed]) for many years – from championing free trade ([link removed]) to GMOs ([link removed]) , cultivated meat ([link removed]) and net neutrality ([link removed]) . It is essential that this important task continues to unshackle and unleash British businesses across all sectors.

Matthew Lesh

Director of Public Policy and Communications

Institute of Economic Affairs


** IEA’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee rejects rate rise
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This week the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee enacted a twelfth consecutive interest rates rise — 25 basis points to 4.5 per cent. But was it necessary?
* The IEA’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (SMPC) voted that the rate should have remained at 4.25 per cent — and two members voted for a rate cut.
* The SMPC believe that the Bank of England is over-focusing on current inflation and not enough on the sharp reduction in the money supply, which will bring inflation under control within the next two years, as shown by the Bank’s official forecasts.
* In July 2021, the SMPC were among the first groups to identify the risk of inflation and call for an interest rate rise. But they now believe the easing of supply chain pressures from China’s ending of the Covid lockdown and easing of the supply side shock from the war in Ukraine, combined with weakness in the UK economy, means further tightening to reduce demand is unnecessary.
* You can read the SMPC press release ([link removed]) and download the meeting minutes ([link removed]) .

Read SMPC Press Release ([link removed])
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SMPC Chair Trevor Williams wrote in The Daily Telegraph ([link removed]) that the Bank has overcompensated for failing to spot inflation earlier and now risks drastic rate cuts in the year ahead.

Trevor Williams’ response ([link removed]) to the Bank was covered by the Press Association and featured in The Daily Express ([link removed]) , The Scotsman ([link removed]) , The Independent ([link removed]) and GB News.

IEA Director of Public Policy and Communications Matthew Lesh highlighted the Bank’s culpability for high inflation in The Daily Express ([link removed]) .
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Matthew also interviewed IEA Economics Fellow and SMPC member Julian Jessop about the rates rise and the state of the British economy on the IEA Podcast ([link removed]) .

IEA Latest.
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** Why competition is not the enemy of sustainability ([link removed])
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Law & Economics Fellow Cento Veljanovski, IEA Blog

In defence of antitrust... Efforts to weaken competition law in the name of sustainability risk worsening consumer outcomes while not helping the environment.
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** The NHS is ripe for reform ([link removed])
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Communications Officer Reem Ibrahim, Jeremy Vine on 5

The liberal take... Reem debated NHS reform and the monarchy.
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** Stella Creasy’s hypocrisy: Thoughtcrime for me but not for thee ([link removed])
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Head of Cultural Affairs Marc Glendening, The Critic

Do as I say, not as I do... An MP expresses righteous fury at a police visit, while also demanding that police have more power against their opponents.
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** What is anarcho-capitalism? ([link removed])
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In Conversation with Dr David D. Friedman, IEA YouTube

The conservative way to anarchy... How could law and order function in a stateless society? Should the police be privatised? Should borders be open?
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** In UK and US, Tough on Borders Means Tough on Civil Liberties ([link removed])
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Communications Officer Harrison Griffiths,
The American Spectator

Not open or free… The relentless efforts to reduce immigration are undermining our fundamental civil liberties.
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** Institutionalising orthorexia: What exactly is wrong with processed food? ([link removed])
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Head of Lifestyle Economics Christopher Snowdon,
The Critic

Culinary crusade… The movement against so-called ‘Ultra-Processed Food’ is populated by “Status-signalling food faddists… back-to-the-land reactionaries, anti-capitalist hipsters, people who suffer from chemophobia ([link removed]) (fear of chemicals) and those who suffer from orthorexia ([link removed]) (a “pathological fixation associated with consuming healthy food”).”
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** The Swift Half with Snowdon ft. Dan Waugh ([link removed])
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Christopher Snowdon discusses gambling regulation and the recent white paper with an industry expert.

IEA Insider.
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** IEA Panel Discussion: “The Road to Serfdom: Was Hayek Right?” ([link removed])
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Date: Monday, 22 May | Time: 6.00pm — 8.15pm | Location: 2 Lord North Street, SW1P 3LB

Was Friedrich Hayek’s The Road to Serfdom valid when it was written or did it express an exaggerated fear? Is there a threat to our fundamental political liberties today and, if so, from where precisely does it emanate?

Panellists:
* James Forder, IEA Academic and Research Director (Chair)
* Dr Mark Pennington, Professor of Political Economy and Public Policy at Kings College London.
* Inaya Folarin Iman, journalist, television presenter and Director of the Equiano Project.
* Dr Kristian Niemietz, IEA Head of Political Economy.
* Sherelle Jacobs, journalist and columnist at the Daily Telegraph.

If you would like to attend, please contact Daniel Freeman: [email protected] (mailto:[email protected]?subject=null&body=null) .


** IEA Book Club
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** IEA Book Club with Shanker Singham and Alden Abbott ([link removed])
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Date: Wednesday, 17 May

Time: 5.30pm — 7.30pm

Location: 2 Lord North Street, SW1P 3LB

The IEA Book Club will host IEA Trade and International Competition Fellow Shanker Singham and Alden Abbott on their latest book, “Trade, Competition and Domestic Regulatory Policy”. The event will be chaired IEA Director General Mark Littlewood.

There are a limited number of spaces at this Book Club event for non-members, please apply by emailing: [email protected] (mailto:[email protected]?subject=null&body=null) .
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** IEA Book Club with Paul Johnson ([link removed])
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Date: Wednesday, 7 June

Time: 5.30pm — 7.30pm

Location: 2 Lord North Street, SW1P 3LB

The IEA Book Club will host Director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies Paul Johnson on his latest book, 'Follow the Money: How Much Does Britain Cost'. This event will be chaired by Matthew Lesh.

Find out more about how to join the Book Club ([link removed])
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