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Everyone Thinks the Debt Ceiling Is Someone Else’s Problem
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On today’s X-Date, the epidemic of buck-passing
breaking out in the nation’s capital
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J. Scott Applewhite/AP Photo
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Janet Yellen wants you to know that she’s not responsible. The future litigant in a bondholder case reiterated the line that she’s taken throughout the debt ceiling crisis, that only Congress can deal with the situation. When asked about the 14th Amendment stricture that "The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law … shall not be questioned," Yellen said simply, "What to do if Congress fails to meet its responsibility? There are simply no good options." Now, of course she’s going to say that. "No good options" does not mean not considering that option, just that it could be invoked in a least-worst scenario. Even President Biden hasn’t ruled that out. Judged against default, the (perhaps temporarily) higher borrowing costs that could result from the uncertainty of invoking the 14th Amendment look pretty good. So do premium bonds or platinum coins or "consol bonds" that never mature; all of these risk higher borrowing costs, but default is surely worse. And Yellen surely knows this. She has been dismissing but not rejecting these options for months. If her position is that Congress must do its duty, she of course will not
entertain alternative possibilities, because then the leverage for Congress to act goes away. It would be an invitation to irresponsibility. Yellen is on the record in a 2013 conference call when she was vice chair of the Federal Reserve making contingencies in case of a debt ceiling catastrophe. Speaking about extraordinary measures, Yellen said, "I wouldn’t be eager to do them, but I wouldn’t say
‘never.’" So I’m not super worried about Yellen passing the buck to someone else as the crisis deepens; that’s literally her job at this point. What does worry me is how many other players in this drama are doing the same thing.
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The Biden administration wants CEOs to make their case that the debt ceiling must be lifted for them. That certainly would raise the pressure on Republicans, but that’s something Democrats should be perfectly
capable of doing on their own. Besides, Republicans are in a pretend fight with CEOs right now, and would love the opportunity to "prove" their lack of fealty to the business community by rejecting the C-suite request. House Republicans, led by Speaker Kevin McCarthy, have called for negotiations all year, but it’s clear they want a one-minute negotiation where the other side agrees to all their terms, in the form of the bill they only were able to pass because two House Democrats were absent. Some more moderate Republicans told Axios they were worried that any climbdown from the heights of that bill will be thoroughly rejected by the Republican caucus, because they’ve been so hyped up by the temporary victory. The fact that these moderates refuse to divulge their names in public is its own form of buck-passing, refusing to take responsibility and reset the realm of the possible. (By the way, the moderates said just what I said, that clawing back unspent COVID
funds is the only realistic concession in that entire bill, and as I noted last week, that gets you about $30 billion.) Meanwhile, Senate Republicans, led by Mitch McConnell, have completely begged off even participating in this slow-motion disaster. He’s going to attend tomorrow’s talks at the White House, but insists that the president and the Speaker need to reach agreement, and he won’t play a role in getting there. This also blocks Chuck Schumer from playing any role, which maybe he likes as well.
"There is no solution in the Senate," McConnell has said, and senators in both parties largely agree with him. After all, it’s easier that way. McConnell, meanwhile, signed the letter from 43 Senate Republicans (enough to sustain a filibuster) stating that the debt ceiling cannot pass without "substantive spending and budget reforms," while backing off from any responsibility to name those reforms. There’s a theory swirling around Washington that McConnell is waiting for everything to collapse,
only to swoop in and become the savior. But news flash: Things have collapsed, and McConnell is still noodling on his fiddle, Nero-style.
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