This new data makes the following clear: Trump is now the clear favorite to win the Republican nomination and beat Joe Biden in 2024.
Still think our 2024 presidential election insurance policy is a bad idea?
That is an impossible position to maintain after reading the new ABC News/Washington Post poll.
This is one of the most respected surveys in the country – not partisan or slanted, and certainly not pro-Trump.
And yet this new data makes the following clear: Trump is now the clear favorite to win the Republican nomination and beat Joe Biden in November 2024.
In a head-to-head matchup against DONALD TRUMP in 2024:
- Trump … 44%
- Biden … 38%
- Undecided/neither/someone else … 18%
And when undecided respondents are asked who they lean toward, Trump’s lead grows:
- Trump … 49%
- Biden … 42%
- Neither/someone else/ wouldn’t vote … 8%
The critics of our insurance policy (whether well-meaning and misguided or disingenuous and conniving) would have you believe they are sure it will be a Biden-Trump rematch and they know who would win that contest in a two-way race.
If you agree with that point of view, this poll should be deeply unsettling.
I urge you to read the whole survey here ([link removed] ) , but here are some of the most salient points:
When asked who they would support in 2024, 44 percent of voting-age adults say they would “definitely” or “probably” vote for Trump while 38 percent would definitely or probably vote for Biden. The remaining 18 percent are either undecided or gave another answer….
Among independents, 42 percent say they would definitely or probably back Trump, 34 percent say they are for Biden, and nearly a quarter say they are either undecided, would vote for neither or would not vote at all. Those findings mark a drop-off in support for Biden compared with the 2020 results, when he won independents by nine points…
Biden won suburban voters in 2020 with 54 percent of the vote, according to that same Pew study. In the new Post-ABC poll, Trump slightly leads Biden among suburbanites, with Trump at 45 percent and Biden at 39 percent, a difference that is within the poll’s margin of error. Trump has a huge lead among rural voters while Biden has a small lead among urban voters.
No Labels has always believed our insurance project was critical for the country but this latest data is even more evidence Americans may want and need another choice in 2024.
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