|
|
|
|
Welcome to the Tuesday, February 4, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:
- Democratic Iowa caucus results unclear, Trump wins Republican caucuses
- DNC eliminates donor threshold for presidential candidates to qualify for ninth primary debate
- 77% of readers who answered our survey think more than one Democratic candidate will win a primary or caucus in February
|
President Trump (R) delivers his third State of the Union address tonight before a joint session of Congress at 9:00 pm ET. The address fulfills a Constitutional requirement that the President "give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union, and recommend to their Consideration such measures as he shall judge necessary and expedient." Woodrow Wilson became the first President since 1800 to meet this requirement by addressing Congress in person, rather than in writing, on Dec. 2, 1913. Since then,
presidents have generally delivered the State of the Union in this manner.
Democratic Iowa caucus results delayed, remain unclear; Trump wins Republican caucuses
The Iowa caucuses—the first presidential nominating event of the 2020 cycle—took place yesterday. President Donald Trump (R) won the Republican caucuses while the results of the Democratic caucuses were not known at the time the Brew went to press.
Sign up now for our free Daily Presidential News Briefing and you'll receive the latest news in your inbox later this morning.
According to a statement issued at approximately 10:30 p.m. CT by Mandy McClure, communications director of the Iowa Democratic Party, “We found inconsistencies in the reporting of three sets of results. In addition to the tech systems being used to tabulate results, we are also using photos of results and a paper trail to validate that all results match and ensure that we have confidence and accuracy in the numbers we report. This is simply a reporting issue, the app did not go down and this is not a hack or an intrusion. The underlying data and paper trail is sound and will simply take time to further report the results.”
The Iowa Democratic Party will release three sets of election results: 1) the number of state delegate equivalents each candidate received, 2) the first raw vote of caucus goers, and 3) the second and final raw vote featuring only viable candidates who crossed the 15 percent threshold.
Trump received all 40 Republican delegates. Democrats will award 41 pledged delegates proportionally after all the results are tabulated. Eligible voters met at approximately 1,700 precinct locations across the state to declare their choice. Among Democrats, if a candidate did not receive 15% support at any precinct, he or she was not allocated any delegates from that location and the candidate's supporters had the opportunity to realign—or caucus for another candidate—for the final vote counts.
|
|
DNC eliminates donor threshold for presidential candidates to qualify for ninth primary debate
After yesterday's Iowa caucuses, most Democratic presidential candidates now shift their attention to New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, which hold primaries before the end of February. On Jan. 31, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) announced the criteria for candidates to qualify for the party’s ninth presidential primary debate that will take place Feb. 19 in Las Vegas.
The donor threshold required to qualify for the previous eight debates was eliminated. This enables Michael Bloomberg to qualify, who has not accepted contributions to his campaign.
Candidates now have three ways to qualify:
- receive at least one pledged delegate in the Iowa caucuses or New Hampshire primary;
- receive 10 percent support in four national, Nevada, and/or South Carolina polls; or
- receive 12 percent support in two Nevada and/or South Carolina polls.
Each poll must be publicly released between Jan. 15 and Feb. 18.
Three candidates already qualified for the Feb. 19 debate under this criteria—Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren. Only two other candidates have at least one qualifying poll—Bloomberg and Pete Buttigieg.
The Democratic Party will hold its next presidential primary debate on Feb. 7 in Manchester, New Hampshire. Candidates can qualify for that debate by meeting both a polling and fundraising threshold. Seven candidates have qualified—Biden, Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Sanders, Tom Steyer, Warren, and Andrew Yang.
|
77% of readers who answered our survey think more than one Democratic candidate will win a primary or caucus in February
Monday’s Iowa caucuses were the first of four Democratic presidential nominating events in February. New Hampshire is up next on Feb. 11, then the Nevada caucuses are Feb. 22, and South Carolina's primary takes place on Feb. 29.
On Friday we asked Brew readers their prediction as to how many different Democratic candidates would win those four events. Over three-quarters of those who responded believe that two or more candidates will win at least one Democratic primary or caucus in February.
|
|
Ballotpedia depends on the support of our readers.
The Lucy Burns Institute, publisher of Ballotpedia, is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. All donations are tax deductible to the extent of the law. Donations to the Lucy Burns Institute or Ballotpedia do not support any candidates or campaigns.
|
|
|
|
|
