Daily News Brief
February 03, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
Coronavirus Prompts Travel Bans, Warnings of Economic Fallout
China’s benchmark stock index fell nearly 8 percent (FT) on Monday, its largest drop since 2015, after opening for the first time since January 23 amid a coronavirus outbreak.
 
Though the World Health Organization (WHO) warned countries not to restrict travel or trade (STAT) over the virus, Hong Kong announced the closure of ten of its thirteen border crossings with mainland China and Vietnam banned all flights (NYT) to and from China. Australia and the United States temporarily banned entry from all foreign nationals who recently traveled to China. Oxford Economics estimated that fallout from the virus could reduce global economic growth to its lowest level (NYT) since the 2008 financial crisis.
Analysis
“[Travel bans] rarely prevent the spread of disease, but they are likely to spur devastating economic and health consequences. They may also violate international health law,” Deepa Jahagirdar writes for Think Global Health, a CFR initiative.
 
“The global manufacturing sector is already in recession in advanced countries like the U.S. and eurozone, and the coronavirus outbreak is threatening the services sector,” Dion Rabouin and Joann Muller write for Axios.
 
In Foreign Affairs, Johns Hopkins University’s Tom Inglesby discusses how to prepare for the possibility of a coronavirus pandemic.
The Voting Begins
As the Iowa caucuses kick off the 2020 election season, CFR is tracking the U.S. presidential candidates’ positions on the most pressing foreign policy issues.

Pacific Rim
Japanese Ship Sails for Gulf of Oman to Protect Trade
A Japanese warship with a crew of two hundred set sail (Asahi Shimbun) for the Gulf of Oman to ensure the safety of commercial vessels linked to Japan, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said.

South and Central Asia
New Indian Budget Offers Small Stimulus Amid Slump
New Delhi announced a 2020-2021 budget (NYT) that includes modest infrastructure investments and tax cuts in an effort to lift the country out of its deepest economic slump in more than ten years.
 
In Foreign Affairs, Milan Vaishnav looks at India’s economic troubles.
 
Kazakhstan: During a visit to the country, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo warned Kazakh officials (AP) that Chinese investment could threaten their country’s sovereignty, and praised Kazakhstan for repatriating almost six hundred fighters from Iraq and Syria thought to be linked to the self-proclaimed Islamic State.

Middle East and North Africa
Iraq Appoints New Prime Minister
Iraqi President Barham Salih appointed (Al Jazeera) Mohammed Allawi prime minister on Saturday. Allawi, a former communications minister, will have one month to form a government. Anti-government protesters demonstrated against his appointment, demanding a complete overhaul of the political establishment.
 
Saudi Arabia: The fifty-seven-member Organization of Islamic Cooperation, at a summit in Jeddah, said it rejects (Al Jazeera) Washington’s recently announced Middle East peace plan and that member states should not cooperate with the plan’s implementation.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Malawi Court Rules on Disputed Election
Malawi’s constitutional court is set to rule today (AFP) on whether alleged vote rigging warrants the annulment of May election results that led to the reelection of President Peter Mutharika.
 
Somalia: The country declared a national emergency (BBC) over locust swarms thought to be the country’s worst in twenty-five years. The UN Food and Agriculture Organization called for aid to Somalia and neighboring Ethiopia and Kenya.

Europe
France to Deploy Six Hundred Troops to the Sahel
France will send six hundred more troops (France 24) to Africa’s Sahel region to combat extremist militants, Defense Minister Florence Parly announced.
 
For the Africa in Transition blog, CFR’s John Campbell discusses France’s recommitment to the Sahel.
 
Turkey: The Turkish military struck dozens of Syrian government targets (Reuters) in retaliation for the deaths of five Turkish soldiers killed in Syria’s northwest, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said.
 
CFR’s Global Conflict Tracker looks at Turkey’s role in northwestern Syria.

Americas
Four Die as Chile Protests Flare
Chilean protesters continued to demonstrate against the country’s political establishment, torching a supermarket and clashing with police in a new wave of unrest that has left four people dead (Al Jazeera).
 
El Salvador: A man who murdered his girlfriend was found guilty of femicide and sentenced to fifty years (Reuters) in prison. The case prompted the government to declare a national emergency against femicide.

United States
Iowa Holds First Presidential Caucus of 2020
Iowans will caucus tonight (NPR) to declare their preferences for presidential candidates in the first such contest of the 2020 primary season.
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