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February 3, 2020: Results from tonight’s Iowa caucuses will be reported in 3 different ways. As a result, it is possible that 3 different Democratic presidential hopefuls could claim victory in the event.[1]
The first approach will be measured by the preference of Democratic voters when they arrive at the caucus. This result will be roughly equivalent to the results from a typical primary election.[1]
However, caucuses are different. If a candidate does not receive 15% support at a particular caucus location, their supporters will be required to back someone else—generally speaking, their second choice.[1]
Finally, the results of all the voting will be translated into delegates supporting each candidate. These delegates will attend the Democratic National Convention in July and be pledged to support their particular candidate on the first ballot.[1]
If one candidate dominates the caucuses, it is likely that he or she will win by all three measures. In a closer race, though, it is conceivable that three different winners will be declared.
And, adding to the confusion, some other candidates may claim a moral victory by claiming to have exceeded expectations.
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