Yesterday, I took part in a press conference with other Senate Republicans that highlighted that despite the $17.5 billion surplus, six bills proposed by the House, Senate, and/or Governor Walz contain nearly $10 billion dollars of tax hikes.
The $9.69 billion in tax hikes are incredibly tone-deaf as Minnesotans struggle with $3/gallon gas, inflation costs on their grocery basics, and a tight labor market driving up the cost of everyday services. Minnesotans should know the Democrats’ budget will lead to higher taxes now and even higher taxes in the future to support their explosive growth in state government.
Every Minnesotan will be hit by these tax increases, whether shopping in the metro, buying a new car, or updating their tabs. If the current form of Paid Family and Medical Leave passes, they will be hit with taxes just for collecting a paycheck.
While this year’s tax hikes are bad, what’s really going to shock Minnesotans is what will happen in the next budget when we don’t have a huge surplus to spend. Democrats are pushing through bills that spend $19 billion of the surplus, setting our budget up for a fiscal cliff and huge shortfalls. Since we can’t count on Democrats to hold back on tax increases when there’s a surplus, Katy bars the door when they’ve triggered enormous deficits.
Cities and Counties are required to hold their own Truth in Taxation hearings before setting their budgets and projecting tax increases on their constituents. Next year’s hearings might be very surprising as local government and school boards have testified that the mandates and policies being passed in St. Paul will have an impact on local government budgets across the state.
With the election putting Democrats in full control of the government without a check from Republicans, Democrats have drastically expanded the agenda they ran on last year. Despite promises to end the tax on Social Security and return the surplus, the session has seen very little tax relief and no effort to return the surplus with rebates or tax cuts. A full elimination of the Social Security tax seems to be stalled without the political will of four freshman Democrats who have yet to make good on their campaign promise.
The six bills considered add up to $9.69 billion in higher taxes and fees. There are additional fees in other budget bills and policy provisions, meaning $13 billion is not the maximum that taxpayers could be on the hook for- it will likely be more.
The six bills the Republicans used for their assessment are:
Transportation Budget Bill: $3.56 billion in tax and fee increases, including:
- Motor Vehicle Registration Tax increase of $736 million over four years
- Motor Vehicle Sales Tax increase of $2214 million over four years
- Retail Delivery Fee (remains alive in the House) of $512 million from FY ‘25-27
Source: Dept of Revenue Analysis on H.F. 2887, April 4, 2023
Housing Bill: $744 million from the Metro Sales Tax (remains alive in the House)
Source: Dept of Revenue Analysis on H.F. 2335, April 3, 2023
Paid Family Medical Leave: $2.9 billion tax increase on every employee and business in the state.
Using the most recent non-partisan Senate Fiscal Note, the bill includes a .07% payroll tax to cover benefits beginning in 2025 and takes $1.7 billion from the surplus this year as starter cash.
Source: Non-partisan Senate Fiscal Analysis of H.F. 2, April 13, 2023
5th Tier Income Tax: $1 billion increase with new fifth tier tax; Gov. Dayton added the fourth tier tax level just 10 years ago.
If enacted, this would have an impact on this year’s taxes due tomorrow for more than 24,000 returns with an average increase in tax of $9,231 per return
Source: Dept. of Revenue Analysis of H.F. 442, April 10, 2023
Corporate Franchise Tax: $1.169 billion increase on businesses simply for the “pleasure” of doing business in Minnesota.
Source: Dept. of Revenue Analysis HF 2883, April 10, 2023
Cannabis: $269 million in fees and taxes on legal cannabis
Source: Dept. of Revenue Analysis of HF 100/SF 73, March 31, 2023