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AEI's weekly digest of top commentary and scholarship on the issues that matter most

Massive Interest-Rate Risk and its Consequences

For the First Time, the Fed Is Losing Money

April 1, 2023

Every year since 1916, the Federal Reserve generated a profit that it sent to the United States Treasury. That ended in September 2022, and now, the Fed loses seven billion dollars per month on average. Writing in the Wall Street Journal, Paul H. Kupiec and Alex J. Pollock explain the unexpected cause of these unprecedented losses.

 

 

Can the 200-year-old Monroe Doctrine help counter new threats from China? Colin Dueck argues that the American response to the People’s Republic of China’s growing influence in Latin America, yet unchecked by the Biden administration’s policies, will require the doctrine’s renewal.

 

In a new AEI Foreign and Defense Policy working paper, Elaine McCusker examines three key challenges in reforming US defense budgeting. First among these issues, McCusker writes, is the “nearly $109 billion in spending that does not directly produce military capability” in the Department of Defense’s budget.

 

Testifying before the Senate Budget Committee on March 29, Benjamin Zycher challenged the assumption that a massive structural shift away from fossil fuels is economically feasible and can be led by government policy. He outlined why market forces will determine the future of energy and why those forces still favor fossil fuels.

 

Also on Capitol Hill this week, Benedic N. Ippolito testified about policy changes that could improve competition and transparency in health care markets before the House Energy and Commerce Committee’s Health Subcommittee. Ippolito discussed potential solutions to several ongoing issues, such as rising consolidation, that reduce competition and increase health care prices.

The Effect of Malicious Cyber Activity on the US Corporate Sector

In the latest AEI Economic Policy working paper, Anna Scherbina and Bernd Schlusche investigate the effect of malicious cyber activity on American corporations. Compiling and categorizing a comprehensive dataset of corporations’ adverse cyber incidents, Scherbina and Bernd find that firms suffer significant losses from these incidents, which can disrupt operations and hurt assets. Scherbina and Bernd also show that cyber incidents are more likely to affect firms holding government and defense contracts, working on emerging technologies or critical infrastructure, and possessing trade secrets. The coauthors find further that cyber incidents significantly harm other firms linked economically to those directly affected.

 

 

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QUOTE OF THE WEEK

The objectives are audacious, even epic: Moscow and Beijing seek to roll back US power and alliances so they can build sprawling spheres of influence and create a multipolar world. They also aim to diminish the reach of democratic values, so autocratic forms of government are secure and even supreme.

Hal Brands